Issues

Magazine Cover for June 2024
June 2024

Hopefully, MoneySavers who have been with us for a while (43 years now!) have enjoyed some financial success from reading the articles we publish by our esteemed group of expert contributors.

If you are a newer reader, hopefully we can help you on your way to financial success and independence. That's our goal.

But, some recent personal events have reminded us that money is not the only thing.

Maybe it is because we are getting old (sigh), but we are seeing friends with health problems, parents passing away and lots of people stressing over inconsequential things.

Money is helpful, for sure, but it cannot stop the clock. It can't buy sleep or happiness, or health. It can't buy friends. We think it should not be someone's main focus.
In fact, if you plan things properly, most portfolios can run themselves most of the time.

You do not need to know everything about a company, if it has performed well for 20 years. It won't change its stripes. You don't need to listen to every companyís quarterly conference calls.

Featuring: Rita Silvan, Jason Heath, Frank Masters, Steven Brennan, Rino Racanelli, Colin Ritchie

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Magazine Cover for May 2024
May 2024

As we write this, in mid April, we note that both US and Canadian markets are reporting all-time highs.
Markets are doing very well, as investors anticipate earnings growth, lower inflation and lower interest rates ahead.

This is all well and good, but some investors worry about new highs. Of course, whenever there is a new high there is lots of chatter about a market 'correction', 'set back', or even 'crash'. But markets are supposed to go up. New highs make for some media chatter, but they don't really tell investors much. Recent new highs generally just surpass levels set in 2021, so another way of looking at things is to say that markets haven't really done that much in
a couple of years.

Further, new highs are actually not uncommon. On average, there are 16 new highs every single calendar year. Also, even if one invests at new high levels, returns end up being very
close to investing at lower levels.

So, enjoy the new highs as they come. But don't put too much 'stock' in them. They don't mean a crash, and they are nothing to worry about, certainly.

Sharing with You,
Peter Hodson, Editor

Featuring: Richard Morrison, Rita Silvan, John De Goey, Chris White, Peter Hodson, Ed Arbuckle

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Magazine Cover for March 2024
March 2024

One of the hardest things for an investor to do is to NOT SELL a company whose shares are surging.

When a stock is flying, many will say it's a bubble. Many will say the move is unsustainable. Many will say it is overvalued.

But is it?

One tip for investors who find themselves in the happy position of owning a stock up
100%, 200%, 300% or more is to ignore the stock price. That's right, ignore it. Look only
at the fundamentals. How is earnings growth? How is cash flow? Are sales accelerating? Is
debt being paid down? Is the company buying back stock? Are insiders buying?

We've noticed many stocks this year rising rapidly. Many are in the AI field. But many, such
as Eli Lilly (up 21% year to date and 111% over one year), are simply great growth companies.

In many cases, though, earnings growth is faster than stock price gains. What does this
mean? Well, it means even at a much higher stock price, your stock might actually be cheaper than it was before, due to its fast earnings growth.

So, before simply selling, look under the hood. Your 'expensive' stock might actually be
'cheap', if it is growing fast enough.

Sharing with You,
Peter Hodson, Editor

Featuring: Rita Silvan, Barbara Stewart, Janet Gray, Richard Morrison, Danielle Neziol, Lana Sanichar, Brian...

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Magazine Cover for February 2024
February 2024

Last year once again reminded us of the importance of staying invested. The
market in 2023 started off strong, dipped, recovered, dipped again, then had a
big run in the fourth quarter.

Traders and short-investors likely had a very hard time: In 2023 one minute the world was
ending with high inflation, high interest rates and a looming recession. The next minute,
rates were falling, economists were talking about a 'soft landing' and all was good again.

But investors who simply held on, or, better yet, kept buying on a regular basis, likely
did very well in 2023. We enjoyed a solid 2023 performance, but a lot of it came in the last
nine weeks of the year, and the move was enough to make up for several mistakes (yes, we
still make those!).

So, as 2024 moves unrelentingly forward, keep this in mind: it is not timing the market,
it is time IN the market. Yes, a very old stock market saying. But, clearly, one of the best:
give your companies enough time to make you wealthy.

Peter Hodson CFA
Founder and Head of Research
5i Research Inc.

Featuring: Matt Poyner, Julie Petrera, Rita Silvan, Colin Ritchie, Chris White, Barbara Stewart, Michael Huynh

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Magazine Cover for January 2024
January 2024

Happy New Year MoneySavers.

Did you enjoy 2023? There was, as always, lots of action in the capital markets, and
things did not look good in the early days, with interest rates rising and regional banks in
the US imploding on a daily basis. In March, some worried about a repeat of the 2008 financial crisis.

But strong job numbers, a recovery in corporate earnings, lower inflation and a belief that interest rates have peaked (not to mention a giant bitcoin rally) saved the day.

Going into 2024, confidence is coming back. There is $6 trillion in cash sitting on the sidelines. It might be a good year, but we know better than to make such predictions.

Don't change your investment strategy suddenly. Keep to your plan. You do have a plan, don't you? If you are thinking of buying a GIC, we might move faster than normal. In Canada, at least, with weaker economic growth, interest rates are likely to fall earlier and faster than rates in the USA.

And, don't forget to contribute to your TFSA, the best account for investors. The 2024 contribution limit is $7,000. Never bought a house? The First Home Savings Account is a hybrid of a TFSA and RRSP, and will help new home buyers with an $8,000 annual contribution, up to $40,000 lifetime.

Sharing With You,
Peter Hodson

Featuring: Brian Quinlan, Rino Ravanelli, Jason Heath, Donald Dony, John De Goey, Fred J. Masters, Barbara...

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Magazine Cover for November 2023
November 2023

Well, there is good news and bad news this month.

Markets turned negative after July, as more fears of recession and higher interest rates took hold. It has now been nearly two years since investors started worrying about recession. Higher interest rates have worried investors for about as long.

The bad news is that negative momentum can easily carry through to the balance of the year. The TSX might have a hard time getting to a positive performance for 2023. Banks are universally hated right now, as investors worry about loan losses and a feared collapse in the housing market.

The good news is that higher rates do not always mean a bad stock market. Things could improve (no guarantees, remember!).

In 1980, the Federal Reserve funds rate went from 14% to 20% (not a typo), the highest rate it has ever been, as the US desperately tried to stop inflation. What did the stock market do that year? It went up more than 30% (including dividends). Perhaps the pervasive fear right now over 5% rates needs to be put into perspective a little bit.

As usual, no one knows the future. But history has shown that higher interest rates are not always so bad.

Peter Hodson CFA
Founder and Head of Research
5i Research Inc.

Featuring: Norm Rothery, Russ Morrison, Fred J Masters, Julie Peters, Richard Morrison, Ken Kivenko,...

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Magazine Cover for October 2023
October 2023

In this month's issue, we highlight one of the most confusing topics for
investors: When to sell an investment.

Even the pros suffer with this. When a stock is going up, it is always nice to
take a profit. But should you? Why are other investors buying it?

When a stock is going down, it is never fun, but should you sell a losing investment?
What if it turns around and soars higher, or the company gets taken over?

Remember, someone sold Apple shares at (adjusted for splits) seven CENTS about
40 years ago (it is $183 at the time of writing). That clearly was not a good sell!

There is no perfect answer, but hopefully we will provide some guidance for your
next 'sell' decision.

Sharing with You,
Peter Hudson, CFA

Featuring: Richard Morrison, Rita Silvan, Ken Kivenko, Colin Ritchie, Ed Arbuckle, Solomon Amos, Barbara...

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Magazine Cover for September 2023
September 2023

Sometimes, investors need to be careful what news items they pay attention to.
On any given day, there are thousands of news items, company reports, press
releases, analyst ratings and economic data points.

Not all are important. In fact, probably about 95% of them don't need to be read at all.
Unfortunately, though, knowing which ones to ignore is a skill that needs to be developed
over time. Ignoring 'noise' frees up an investor's time and is a big super power for an investor. Less noise equals more time means more 'real' research can be done.

Let's take an example. In early August, Fitch Rating Service downgraded the USA's credit
rating. On a slow news day, many investors panicked. 'If the US is in trouble', they reasoned, 'maybe I should sell some stocks and get defensive'. The news created a lot of buzz and a bit of a media frenzy.

But this item could have been completely ignored. A larger, more-respected ratings agency
(S&P Corp.) already downgraded the USA, MORE THAN TEN YEARS AGO.

A downgrade is not something a rating agency does lightly. I know, I used to work for a
ratings agency. But does this rating downgrade impact the average investor? Not really at
all. In fact, I am sure most investors wished they had loaded up on stocks ten years ago upon the initial downgrade.

Remember, just because an item is in the news doesn't mean you need to worry about it.

Sharing With You
Peter Hodson, CFA
Founder and Head of Research 5i Research Inc.

Featuring: Richard Morrison, Lana Sanichar, Davie Eden, Jason Heath, Rita Silvan, Milan Topolovec, Julie...

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Magazine Cover for July 2023
July 2023

Itís July and summer is upon us. Many of us are winding down looking for a bit of sun and relaxation, hopefully near one of our beautiful Canadian lakes.

As I reflect back on the past 12 years of my time with Canadian MoneySaver, I recognize the changes that both I and the magazine have gone through.

When I first started with CMS, I knew nothing about the 60/40 split, or the dividend tax credit much less about how to invest in the stock market. I admit, my vocabulary has increased significantly and my familyís future is greater for it.

But I admit, as my husband inches increasingly closer to retirement, my worry about our childrenís financial future grows stronger. With the soaring costs of home ownership will they ever be able to afford their own homes? Will they be able to afford to raise a family? Or will they be able to afford many of the luxuries that we have become accustomed to? Without our help?

While the education system does include some financial literacy, the task is still largely left to parents. As a MoneySaver, I will continue to talk to talk to my children about money. Their future is in our hands.

Sharing With You,
Lana Sanichar, Editor - in - Chief

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